Bayside Property Update – July 2019

We are seeing a continuing improvement in national housing affordability, due to a combination of lower house prices, wage growth and lower interest rates. The Housing Industry Assn’s index of affordability shows Brisbane up 2.6% and all other capitals also improved. Confirmation of this data is in first home buyers purchasing – 28.6% of home lending in May was to this group, a seven year high.

While home lending nationally is down 21% on last year, it is likely the next quarter will show the recovery in lending and prices that is occurring as a result of tax cuts, the easing of APRA’s restrictive lending policies, and the Federal Government’s First Home Buyers Deposit Scheme, along with impacts at State level.

On the bayside, we have seen an increase in the number of properties being listed in July, with more to follow in the next month or two. With buyers getting more serious there have been a good number of million dollar sales on the bayside. Place Manly continues to be asked to find properties for buyers who don’t feel they have a sufficient range available to make a decision yet.

  • Home affordability – highest level for seven years.
  • Interest rates – further cut by 0.25%. Another reduction forecast to come in the next quarter. Home loans under 3% are now available (usually for a fixed term of 3 years).
  • Mortgage Lending – APRA is easing the “serviceability buffer” for loans to 2.5% above the loan rate. In practice, buyers will be able to borrow around 10% more than a year ago.
  • Deposits for First Home Buyers – Government has announced a proposed scheme for encouraging FHB with only 5% of deposit without mortgage insurance requirement.
  • Capital gains tax and negative gearing – no changes. Investors are back in the market.
  • Economy – while the housing market is still weak in Sydney, Melbourne and Perth, there are signs of improvement, and Brisbane is forecast to increase by 4-5% over the next 12 months. Increasing internal migration and potential economic growth with the Adani approval will benefit the bayside property market because of its proximity to the airport and new families moving into the area.

WAKERLEY: 60 sales YTD, 6 sales over $1M, top sale $1.1M.

MANLY WEST:  89 sales YTD, 1 sale over $1M, top sale $1.18M

GUMDALE:  16 Sales YTD,  7 over $1M, top sale $2.6M

Buyers Here, Sellers Needed!

As a local agent in Wakerley and Manly West, I have a number of buyers looking in the area, and to date they haven’t found what they are seeking. If you have a house that ticks some of the following boxes and are considering a move, please call me now:

0402945488

or email: ianwalkley@eplace.com.au

HOUSES NEEDED (May 2019)

Cul-de-sac in Wakerley with pool or room for pool. Prefer Gumdale SS catchment.  $700K – $900K.

First home buyer looking for family home with some yard, pool or room for pool. Budget to mid $600K. Wakerley or Manly West.

Teenage family needing home with two or more living areas (eg office/media room) and pool. Budget to $1.25M. Prefer quiet street in Wakerley.

 

 

 

 

 

Will the Election Slow the Property Market?

Mention of an election tends to quieten the property market a little, perhaps because of uncertainty and possibly because there are other things on people’s minds. But now is actually a very good time to be a seller in Brisbane. Why is this?

Although listings overall in Brisbane are up from last year (due to slower sales), on the Bayside the number of listings is lower than usual for this time of year because we are still experiencing good buyer demand. Once the election is over, we’ll see more listings and more competition among properties. But at the moment, competition is low and so those properties on the market are selling quite quickly, if they are priced appropriately for the market. Housing prices in Brisbane have remained relatively stable, with a small recorded decline of 0.2% over the past year (compared with -9.9% for Sydney, for example).

So what are buyers looking for? Well, just as every home is different, buyers also have varied requirements and preferences. But there are a few key determinants that influence buyers:

  • Lifestage factors – eg children’s ages impact the size and style of house/yard needed.
  • Locational factors – proximity to workplaces, schools, shops, recreation vary on people’s needs/wants. Cul-de-sac versus busy roads. Neighbourhood characteristics.
  • Budget – this will impact on location, size of house, quality of fitout etc
  • Market environment – people respond to what others are doing, what the media reports, and what they experience in their lives. Making a decision will depend on what’s available in the area they are wanting to live, and how confident they feel about the future.

All of which points to the fact that there are things home owners cannot influence, and things that owners can do that will make their home more appealing to the market that will achieve a better price, for example:

  • Garden – presentation begins with a tidy front garden, lawns and fence (including your letterbox).
  • Maintenance – ensure everything works as it should. Get things that you’ve “put up with for years” fixed. Repair cracks and surfaces. Clean or paint walls.
  • Find the house plans – your buyers will want to see a plan.
  • Paperwork – Get paperwork up to date, like termite inspections, pool safety certificates, insurance, completion certificates for additions/extensions.
  • Ask your agent for advice well in advance of listing, so you don’t have the stress of getting things done at the last minute. A local agent will know your market better and achieve a better result.
  • Declutter, declutter and declutter. Hire a storage shed if necessary.

Happy buying and selling!

State of the Property Market July 18

Welcome to my six monthly review of the state of the property market with reference to Brisbane’s Bayside.
Consistent with the general trend across Australia, during the first half of 2018 we experienced a quieter level of activity in property sales in the Bayside, and a reduction in the numbers of investors looking for existing properties. The demand for land has maintained its level, despite land selling for around $1,000 per square metre in some areas.
The table below compares sales in the first half of 2018 with that in 2017, and as you can see all suburbs experienced slower sales, some significantly below the previous year.
Suburb
Properties Sold Jan-June 2018
Properties Sold Jan-June 2017
Change (%)
Wakerley
93
102
-9%
Manly West
106
136
-22%
Manly
31
49
-37%
Gumdale (inc. land)
11
46
-76%
Gumdale (Houses)
11
32
-66%
The reasons for this decline in activity are mainly the result of the following influences:
  • General lack of economic growth in Queensland, particularly in the mining industry. We are now seeing this begin to turn around, so this may help the area, which is popular among fly-in fly-out mining industry workers.
  • Bank tightening of lending, associated with constraints imposed by APRA, the Banking Royal Commission, Reserve Bank and other related decisions. Many buyers have reportedly had their pre-approved amounts reduced when it comes time to actually buy the property they have chosen.
  • Some buyers have been waiting for Brisbane prices to fall as they have in Melbourne and Sydney. Sellers, on the other hand, have been assuming that prices will continue to rise like before, and many have been reluctant to recognise that they can’t expect to achieve the prices they might have hoped for.
  • International trade and politics has had an impact, both on the Australian dollar and interest rates, and consumer confidence.
Prices in the area have mostly stayed flat over the past six months. Median prices for the latest available month compared to last July show either small increases or declines (note that the Gumdale figure includes land sales which impacts the median price).
Suburb
Median Price April 2018
Median Price July 2017
Change (%)
Wakerley
$748,750
$745,000
0.5%
Manly West
$610,000
$605,000
0.8%
Manly
$775,000
$787,500
-1.6%
Gumdale
(inc land sales)
$905,000
$797,500
-13%
Despite the flat period recently, the outlook for Brisbane is quite positive, provided it doesn’t follow the negative influences of Sydney and Melbourne. The Herron Todd White Property Clock for July shows Brisbane at 9 o’clock in a rising market, with Melbourne at the peak of 12 and Sydney at 3 o’clock on a falling market. HTW says about Brisbane that “now is a good time to look at purchasing as an owner-occupier or investor as the market is starting to show signs of positive growth.”
In terms of future expectations, the Westpac Index of Consumer Sentiment rose by 3.9% in July, now at its highest reading since November 2013. However, the Housing Index was down by 0.7% in the latest quarterly results. Westpac forecast is for the Housing Index to improve to 1.2% positive by the end of this calendar year.
While the Reserve Bank has consistently indicated the next move in interest rates is likely to be upwards, it’s July meeting made it clear there is not going to be any rise for quite some time yet, given the weaknesses in economic indicators.
So, my take on all of this is that it’s time the banks got their act together and started lending again. If you’re a buyer, my advice is to get pre-approval before starting the house hunting, so you know what you’ve got to spend. And if you’re a seller, don’t price your property on the market at 10% more than you reasonably think you’ll get, because it will just languish on the market and not sell. Now is the time to price close to the market and buy well in the same market.

Suburb Comparison Bayside Brisbane

I have compared the suburb performance of Wakerley, Manly, Manly West, Gumdale and Wynnum in 2017. It shows some stand out performances, with Manly units the top performers for the year, and Wynnum and Manly West performing well in terms of house value increase over the past 5 years.
SUBURB PERFORMANCE 2017
Houses Wakerley Gumdale Manly West Manly Wynnum
Sales in 2017 138 40 186 71 253
Median Sale Price  $737,500  $880,000  $595,000  $800,000  $630,000
Top Price in 2017  $1,280,000  $2,600,000  $1,469,000  $2,720,000  $2,350,000
Lowest price in 2017 (market sales)  $385,000  $485,000  $363,000  $330,000  $275,000
Average Days on Market 30 30 33 44 38
Five year increase in Median Price 20% 27% 30% 26% 32%
% Suburb sold 6% 7% 5% 5% 6%
Average Price – 3 Bedroom  $571,300  $1,062,800  $541,000  $783,800  $586,500
Average Price – 4 Bedroom  $714,400  $1,041,000  $671,750  $1,000,200  $749,000
Average Price – 5 Bedroom  $918,600  $1,359,000  $824,000  $1,203,750  $959,000
Units
Wakerley Gumdale Manly West Manly Wynnum
Sales in 2017 26 0 34 11 60
Median Sale Price  $430,000  $407,750  $486,250  $403,000
Top Price in 2017  $600,000  $620,000  $782,500  $930,000
Lowest price in 2017 (market sales)  $365,000  $242,500  $333,000  $258,000
Average Days on Market 27 38 55 54
Five year increase in Median Price 7% 20% 55% 8%
% Suburb sold 6% 6% 4% 5%
Average Price – 2 Bedroom  n/a  $336,500  $468,000  $401,000
Average Price – 3 Bedroom  $435,750  $410,700  $654,000  $496,500

40 Maintenance Tips

Many home owners leave repairs and maintenance to the last minute when selling. But don’t expect a buyer to pay for a property in need of repairs, that is the responsibility of the seller, and is part of normal costs of owning a home. Making repairs and undertaking maintenance is not in the same category as renovation or refurbishment. With your house most buyers will require a building inspection, and inspectors make it their business to identify every maintenance issue, from leaking taps to cracks in the cornice. I recommend that you go through the house room by room, and make a list of repairs and maintenance required before listing the property. And unless you are appropriately skilled or qualified, repairs should be done using a professional, especially electrical work and plumbing.

Here are forty maintenance tips to consider.

  1. Lights that need replacement globes. Make sure the wattage is high so the home is bright when on display. Warm white globes are best in bedrooms, cool white in the kitchen. But don’t mix warm white with cool white in the same room.
  2. Use a battery light in cupboards with no power.
  3. Buy fittings for lights with only a globe.
  4. Fix switches that are faulty or cracked.
  5. Fix leaking taps.
  6. Fix toilet cisterns that constantly flow.
  7. Clear blocked drains.
  8. Door bell—in my experience about 75% of door bells do not work.
  9. Loose wiring from an unfinished electrical job. Either get it done, or get an electrician to shield off the wiring.
  10. Replace or repair anything that is rusting, particularly exterior light fittings. CLR can be used to clean off some rust, but not bad damage.
  11. Letterbox—replace if necessary.
  12. Damage to timber—check for dry rot and termites. Repair and paint.
  13. Perimeter of house—is the exterior wall clear of plants, pipes or conduit that termites could climb to avoid the termite barrier? Are the weep holes clear?
  14. Repair squeaky doors and hinges, sticking doors, loose door handles, cupboard doors that are coming off the hinges.
  15. Replace the dead smoke detector battery.
  16. Service pool pumps and filters and cleaner.
  17. Ensure pool is clean and clear. If necessary hire a pool maintenance man for a couple of months so you don’t have a green pool.
  18. Ensure you have a current pool safety certificate (in relevant States). These can be obtained through any pool shop.
  19. Condition of front door—is it in good condition, does it need painting or staining? What about the condition of the screen door? Check the soft-closing mechanism works on the screen door.
  20. Plaster walls—repair and paint chips, cracks, marks, dents, chipped edges, cracks in cornice.
  21. Fix loose or torn wallpaper.
  22. Flaking paint, or other signs that painting is overdue. Exterior and interior.
  23. Replace cracked bathroom and kitchen tiles.
  24. Clean or replace mouldy and dirty grout.
  25. Floor tiles will show any cracks. Timber and vinyl—do they need repair or polish?
  26. Check for damaged roof tiles (especially if you’ve had Foxtel installed). What about ridge capping—does it need replacing?
  27. Exterior pavers—are they bedded properly, damaged, mouldy? Use some chlorine to kill the mould.
  28. Air conditioners—are they all working? Have the filters been cleaned and serviced lately or ever?
  29. Are the batteries on any remote control gadgets like split cycle air conditioners working?
  30. Ceiling fans—are they dust free, rust-free and working on all speeds?
  31. Cooktop—do all hotplates work properly?
  32. Bathroom extractor fans—working properly?
  33. Range hood—light and fan working?
  34. Mouldy shower curtain or screen—does it just need a clean or is there a bigger problem of moisture in the bathroom?
  35. Windows that won’t slide or you can’t unlock. Replace any cracked glass.
  36. Flyscreens—replace any torn flyscreens.
  37. Cobwebs, wasp nests, signs of cockroaches or spiders—when was the last pest treatment?
  38. Clean out gutters, check for rust showing or damaged downpipes and guttering.
  39. Check the DIY patio or carport—does it need painting? Does it have loose bolts, is it half finished? Is there a need for Council approval?
  40. Check under the eaves for mildew or signs of moisture damage.